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OpinionThe Close

Advisors start retirement cash-flow work years before a business sale

Small business owners with a financial professional expect to retire at 63, seven years earlier than those without one, an Equitable and SCORE Association study finds.

The retirement plan the wealth industry builds for a business owner is engineered to replace a paycheck the owner did not draw, because household spending runs through the company, income swings with the company's year, and the assets that will fund the client's life are the same assets that fund the business. Advisors quoted by InvestmentNews this week describe starting the cash-flow work years before a sale or exit for exactly that reason: a structured review of what the owner earns, spends and will lose access to once the company changes hands, run as a deliberate defense against a lifestyle gap that stays invisible while the business is still paying the bills.

A study released in October 2025 by Equitable and the SCORE Association found six in 10 small business owners find it difficult to fully retire, even though nearly half started their business to eventually fund their retirement, and owners working with a financial professional expected to retire at 63 against 70 for those without. A separate Revenued survey found just 35% of small business owners have any succession plan in place.

That seven-year gap measures expectation rather than track record, a thinner basis for a fee than the industry usually admits and a good reason to anchor the engagement to something the client can see: a model that splits the household's spending into the part that recurs and the part that can move the amount of capital required.

What the exit multiple never answers

Jason Stephens, founder and managing partner of Evertern Wealth in Naples, Fla., puts the central question as whether the value an owner has built can support the family's lifestyle for life, hardest when most of the net worth sits inside the business; his list of commitments that change the answer is deliberately concrete — travel, family support, charitable giving, second homes, boats. The plan is then stress-tested against different sale values, taxes, returns and inflation, with the deliverable framed as rehearsal — the owner's chance to, in his words, experience and refine the planned lifestyle while there is still time to make thoughtful adjustments.

The fork in the road sits upstream of all of it: an owner can sell, pass the company to family, or step back while keeping a stake, and each path carries its own tax and family consequences — the cash-flow model is what makes them comparable, because the question being answered is not which deal is best but which version of the next thirty years the household can afford.

Stephens makes a second point that advisors leading with multiples tend to skip: the business supplies the owner's identity, relationships, sense of purpose and daily structure, and a model that replaces income while leaving those unfilled has solved the smaller half of the problem. The two-and-a-half-year process that produced Evertern Wealth, after he and Mic Lundon left UBS with more than four decades between them, is a fair illustration of the lead time he now describes, applied to his own house.

Chuck Bautista, a vice president and partner at EP Wealth Advisors in Denver, starts in the same place by asking what income and expenses look like before the sale; what he watches for is the expense the business covers now and won't later, the quiet subsidy that makes an owner's household cheaper to run than it will be the month after closing. He adds that many owners plan for retirement the way they run their companies, a frame that tends to keep the enterprise in charge of the household it finances.

The two advisors describing the process work in different settings — a breakaway RIA Stephens launched in Naples in August, and a consolidator — and a process that shows up at both ends of that range looks less like a boutique offering than a default the owner market is coming to expect.

The sell side has the same problem

EP Wealth's own September is a case in point: PWD's records put the firm at 20,738 accounts, 618 employees and $45.1 billion in registered assets, with a team liftout and two advisor moves recorded on the same day at the end of the month and a change at the executive level the week before. RIA M&A has become a financing and integration event, with acquirers paying for post-close operators and the integration load sitting on the CFO's desk rather than the deal desk. If concentrated net worth is what makes an owner's retirement hard to model, the founding advisor selling a practice looks like the same planning problem.

The awkward part is what the discovery work is worth at the moment it is delivered: A cash-flow model built two years before a sale gathers no assets and closes no transaction, producing a plan the owner can carry to whichever advisor eventually runs the deal. Stephens' emphasis on rehearsal over projection is a better product than it is a pitch, and firms that lead with it are betting the model is what holds the account. The coverage does not say whether any of it is billed separately, which is the detail that would show whether the industry believes its own argument.

The fee line is the thing to watch, along with the 35% of owners who have not written a succession plan; those owners are the market, and the discovery conversation years before a sale is the part of the transition they can still shape. Whether firms charge for it, or keep giving it away to win the transaction, will show which one they believe they are selling.

A cash-flow model built two years before a sale gathers no assets and closes no transaction.
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