At a glance
- Vafeas frames President Daniel Ortega's July declaration, which the columnist describes as formalizing the end of competitive elections, as a resource-access story rather than a democracy story.
- For allocators with gold or critical-minerals exposure, the column's diligence question is control, not geology: who holds the concession, for how long, and under which sanctions regime the metal would move.
- Vafeas argues that gold mined inside an isolated autocracy functions as off-grid, sanctions-proof liquidity, insulated from Western economic pressure.
Chinese state-aligned firms have reportedly accumulated mining concessions in Nicaragua covering more than 1 million hectares, about 8.5% of the country, according to an op-ed by Nicholas Vafeas published by Mining.com on Oct. 23, 2026.
Vafeas frames President Daniel Ortega's July declaration, which the columnist describes as formalizing the end of competitive elections, as a resource-access story rather than a democracy story. The piece is opinion, and the 8.5% figure is the author's own, not an independently verified statistic.
For allocators with gold or critical-minerals exposure, the column's diligence question is control, not geology: who holds the concession, for how long, and under which sanctions regime the metal would move.
The co-metals behind the gold
Vafeas argues that gold mined inside an isolated autocracy functions as off-grid, sanctions-proof liquidity, insulated from Western economic pressure. Epithermal systems rarely produce gold alone; he lists antimony, tellurium and silver as co-metals tied to infrared sensors, night-vision optics and munition fuses.
The column points to the 50 km La India district on the Central American volcanic arc and attaches an estimated net present value of $1.4 billion. It sets that against Japan's Hishikari mine, described as one of the world's richest epithermal deposits and occupying only a few kilometres of strike.
What a diligence file asks
When a mining fund, royalty vehicle or critical-minerals sleeve reports Central American exposure, the questions for the manager are who the operating partner is, how tenure is protected and how offtake is contracted. The column names no concession holder or operator, which leaves the offtake counterparty and the sanctions chain as the gaps a manager's file has to close.
Reported by the Natural Resources desk from Mining.com. Published . Corrections