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San Francisco reclaims VTS office demand lead with 21-point gain

New York City placed second at 84 and the national index fell 11% from the second quarter, Connect CRE reported.

At a glance

  1. The national index finished the quarter at 67, 3 points above its year-end 2025 level and the second-highest third-quarter reading since 2020.
  2. Performance across major markets evened out, and AI demand shifted toward more, smaller requirements, according to the report.
  3. For lenders and allocators underwriting office space, a single national demand curve would miss the 20-point spread between San Francisco's 87 and the national index's 67, up from 2 points at year-end 2025.

San Francisco reclaimed the top spot in the VTS Office Demand Index in the third quarter at 87, up 21 points since year-end 2025, a larger gain than any other market. New York City followed at 84, Connect CRE reported.

The national index finished the quarter at 67, 3 points above its year-end 2025 level and the second-highest third-quarter reading since 2020. It fell 11% from the second quarter and 7% from a year earlier. Performance across major markets evened out, and AI demand shifted toward more, smaller requirements, according to the report.

For lenders and allocators underwriting office space, a single national demand curve would miss the 20-point spread between San Francisco's 87 and the national index's 67, up from 2 points at year-end 2025. New York's 84 sits 17 points above the national figure.

San Francisco pulled 20 points clear of national demand

VTS Office Demand Index reading, year-end 2025 vs. Q3 2026

National 64 indexSan Francisco 66 index67 index87 indexEnd-2025Q3 2026National 64 indexSan Francisco 66 index67 index87 indexEnd-2025Q3 2026National 64 indexSan Francisco 66 index67 index87 indexEnd-2025Q3 2026
Source: VTS Office Demand Index via Connect CRE
Show as table
ItemEnd-2025Q3 2026Change
San Francisco66 index87 index+21 index
National64 index67 index+3 index

Reported by the Sectors desk from Connect CRE and VTS Office Demand Index. Published . Corrections

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San Francisco reclaims VTS office demand lead with 21-point gain