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Prosper pays $50M for a Brickell acre with no price list yet

Prosper Group's Miami River acre pencils to about $276,000 a door, leaving the 181-unit price sheet to decide whether the site was the scarce asset.

At a glance

  1. The plan above it, just outside Brickell City Centre, is a 60-story, 181-unit luxury residential tower with more than 80 consultants already attached.
  2. At roughly $276,000 a door across 181 units, the closing prices the land before the condo, and CEO Jay Roberts says unit pricing cannot be announced yet.
  3. Roberts arrived from Wall Street, where at Bank of America Merrill Lynch his work included Paramount Group Real Estate Investment Trust's $2.6 billion initial public offering, and he met Dan Kodsi in Miami in 2019 before moving to Tampa in 2022 to assemble a city block near the $4 billion Water Street district.

Prosper Group has closed on a $50 million Miami River site, an acre at 66 Southwest Sixth Street and 625 Southwest First Avenue with roughly 300 feet of river frontage. The plan above it, just outside Brickell City Centre, is a 60-story, 181-unit luxury residential tower with more than 80 consultants already attached.

At roughly $276,000 a door across 181 units, the closing prices the land before the condo, and CEO Jay Roberts says unit pricing cannot be announced yet. Buying dirt ahead of a price list is the familiar Miami sequence, and it only pencils where the site, not the sales gallery, is the scarce item.

Roberts arrived from Wall Street, where at Bank of America Merrill Lynch his work included Paramount Group Real Estate Investment Trust's $2.6 billion initial public offering, and he met Dan Kodsi in Miami in 2019 before moving to Tampa in 2022 to assemble a city block near the $4 billion Water Street district. There he brought in a co-developer for what he calls Tampa's first condo-hotel, then returned to Miami in 2023 to hunt waterfront sites, leaving Prosper with a $2.8 billion pipeline of three Miami projects, one in Tampa, and a two-phase commercial building Roberts says has not been announced. His podcast, 'The Long Game,' and 175,000 Instagram followers travel with the raise.

In his own telling, one of his superpowers is raising capital, identifying sites, and structuring joint ventures—precisely the skill set a sponsor needs when the binding constraints are entitled river frontage and equity willing to commit before pricing exists. Miami's condo cycle has spent years being narrated as a demand story, but the sites tell a supply one, and the thinning inventory this publication flagged in New York's large-building market has a Miami waterfront analogue in a one-acre parcel whose 300 feet of frontage a rival cannot replicate.

That has been the argument here since August: the repricing is finished and the base is forming. A $50 million land closing with no pricing attached is a bet on that base, and it leans against the older worry that private marks trail the listed recovery by 12 to 18 months; land bought now clears against a comparable set struck when listed REITs, not private appraisals, had already moved.

The verdict arrives with the price sheet on the 181 units, and again if the unannounced commercial phase carries the same river-frontage thesis. Until one lands, $2.8 billion of pipeline and a single closed acre is the honest scoreboard.

Reported by the Deals desk from Commercial Observer. Published . Corrections

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