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Insurers keep funding in-plan annuities as recession worry falls

Goldman Sachs Asset Management's survey finds 68% of insurers still name a recession the top macro risk, down from 76%.

68%insurers naming recession the top macro risk

At a glance

  1. The share naming a potential recession the greatest macroeconomic risk to their business fell to 68% from 76% a year earlier.
  2. The survey, first reported by PLANADVISER, found carriers were not pulling back on product development or platform expansion because of recession or volatility concerns.
  3. Advisors who sit on 401(k) menu committees or write rollover recommendations face more annuity contracts to compare.

Insurers are still funding in-plan annuity product development and platform expansion, according to Goldman Sachs Asset Management's 2026 annuity industry survey. The share naming a potential recession the greatest macroeconomic risk to their business fell to 68% from 76% a year earlier.

The survey, first reported by PLANADVISER, found carriers were not pulling back on product development or platform expansion because of recession or volatility concerns. Credit and equity market volatility was cited by 57%, down from 66%. The share citing credit and equity valuations as a top risk rose to 38% from none a year earlier.

Advisors who sit on 401(k) menu committees or write rollover recommendations face more annuity contracts to compare. Insurers reported growing opportunities to bring guaranteed income into workplace plans and advisor-managed accounts, and 79% named generating income throughout retirement as retirees' leading objective. Each contract that reaches a plan menu or an advisory platform is another price, liquidity and guarantee-cost comparison.

Marci Green, head of retirement distribution and third-party insurance at Goldman Sachs Asset Management, said a separate participant survey published in September found 83% want some form of guaranteed income. The firm said the 79% reading from insurers was mirrored in that participant survey.

On the retail side, 58% of insurers expected registered index-linked annuities to be the fastest-growing annuity product by sales in the next year, and 20% expected RILAs to lead sales over three years. RILAs have surpassed last year's $79.6 billion in sales and are projected to exceed $85 billion this year, according to the survey.

Insurers ranked independent broker-dealers above RIAs for annuity growth, as Private Wealth Daily previously reported; 33% picked RIAs, down from 45%.

Recession worry eased; valuation risk appeared

Share of insurers naming each as a top macro risk, 2025 vs 2026

Recession 76%Credit/equity volatility 66%Credit/equity valuations 0%68%57%38%20252026Recession 76%Credit/equity volatility 66%Credit/equity valuations 0%68%57%38%20252026Recession 76%Credit/equity vola… 66%Credit/equity valua… 0%68%57%38%20252026
Source: Goldman Sachs 2026 annuity industry survey via PLANADVISER
Show as table
Item20252026Change
Recession76%68%−8%
Credit/equity volatility66%57%−9%
Credit/equity valuations0%38%+38%

Reported by the Income & Annuities desk from PLANADVISER and Goldman Sachs Asset Management 2026 Annuity Industry survey. Published . Corrections

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